2023 Tour Championship odds, picks, field, predictions: Golf expert fades Scottie Scheffler at East Lake

The 2022-23 PGA Tour season concludes this week when the top 30 players compete in the 2023 Tour Championship beginning Thursday at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. For the fifth consecutive year, players will be seeded primarily based on their rankings in the FedEx Cup standings. Scottie Scheffler, who finished last week’s BMW Championship at the top of the standings, enters the Tour Championship at 10 under par and holds a two-shot lead over Viktor Hovland. The winner of the Tour Championship will receive the FedEx Cup title and an $18 million payday.

Scheffler is the favorite in the latest Tour Championship numbers, at +130. Rory McIlroy (+330), Hovland (+450), Jon Rahm (+850) and Patrick Cantlay (+1800) rounds out the top five on the PGA odds board. Before you lock in any Tour Championship picks, be sure to check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from golf and fantasy betting expert Sia Nejad.

Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He has been very successful in the outright and first round betting markets and in head-to-head betting. He has also been on fire in back-to-back games since the Charles Schwab Challenge, going 24-15-1 and returning 6.59 units over that span. That is a profit of $ 659 for $ 100 bettors in the last 13 weeks.

Nejad also scored 75-1 longshot Wyndham Clark as the overall winner at the Wells Fargo Championship. In 2023, SportsLine released “The Early Wedge,” and in the first three months of the show, it hit two first-round leaders and three outright winners. Nejad also had a successful head-to-head record in seven of nine weeks. It was up more than 70 units over that three-month period.

Now, Nejad has turned his attention to the 2023 Tour Championship field and has narrowed down his best bets, top sleepers and favorites. See who they are at SportsLine.

The best 2023 Tour Championship expert picks

One surprise: Nejad completely fades Scottie Scheffler, even though he is the +130 favorite to win by a stroke and start with a two-shot lead. Ranked No. 1 in both the world and FedEx Cup rankings, Scheffler has had an incredible season, with two wins and 16 top 10s in 22 events. He has one of the best hitting: total seasons ever, averaging 2.502 strokes gained per round.

But Scheffler has struggled with the putter all year; he ranks 145th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting (-0.239). “The putter has been his Kryptonite all season, and this week the putter will have four full rounds to expose Scheffler’s shortcomings,” Nejad told SportsLine. Nejad does not use Scheffler. in his commitments.See his picks at SportsLine.

However, Nejad is high on the odds of Sam Burns, who is +4500 to win without starting strokes. Ranked No. 22 in the world, Burns has one win and five top 10s in 25 starts this season. He is coming off 15th at the BMW Championship at Olympia Fields.

Burns will start the Tour Championship 10 shots behind the leader, Scheffler, and Nejad believes that will force Burns to be aggressive and shoot for pins with nothing to lose. “His game is moving in the right direction across a number of metres, including finesse in management and approach play, and we know he is the type of player that can be hot at any time,” Nejad told SportsLine. See who else is back at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 Tour Championship selections

Nejad has placed his best bets for the 2023 Tour Championship and is backing a number of long shots, including one priced at over 50-1. This player “continues to play well” and is a long shot that could surprise. You can see Nejad’s PGA Tour picks exclusively at SportsLine.

So which players should you target or avoid for the 2023 Tour Championship, and which player in the 2023 Tour Championship field could take a big payday at over 50-1? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad’s top picks for the 2023 Tour Championship, all from the expert who won more than 70 units on his recent golf picks.

2023 Tour Championship starts scores score, range

See Nejad’s picks, best bets and predictions here.

Scottie Scheffler (-10) +140
Rory McIlroy (-7) +330
Viktor Hovland (-8) +500
John Rahm (-6) +800
Patrick Cantlay (-4) +1600
Highest Homa (-4) +2800
Xander Schauffele (-3) +3000
Matt Fitzpatrick (-4) +4000
Lucas Glover (-5) +4000
Wyndham Clark (-4) +4500
Tommy Fleetwood (-3) +4500
Brian Harman (-4) +4500
Rickie Fowler (-3) +7000
Russell Henley (-3) +7500
Tom Kim (-2) +11000
Sungjae Im (-2) +11000
Tony Finau (-2) +13000
Keegan Bradley (-3) +13000
Corey Connors (-2) +13000
Colin Morikawa (-1) +13000
Tyrrell Hatton (E) +15000
Si Woo Kim (-2) +18000
Jordan Spieth (E) +18000
Jason Day (-1) +25000
Sam Burns (E) +30000
Taylor Moore (-1) +40000
Sepp Straka (E) +50000
Emiliano Grillo (E) +50000
Adam Schenk (-1) +50000
Nick Taylor (-1) +80000